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Reforms and Solvency
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Overview Measures for Restoring Solvency Comprehensive Reform Plans Additional Resources
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Overview |
At various points throughout its history, lawmakers from across the ideological
spectrum have come together to ensure that Social Security is able to maintain
its promise to future generations. Most recently, in the early 1980s, a commission
appointed by Ronald Reagan and led by Alan Greenspan recommended a package of
reforms to restore solvency and build up reserves for the future.
In large part due to the effectiveness of those reforms, a shortfall isn't
projected until the year 2041 according to Social
Security's trustees, or a decade later according to the Congressional
Budget Office. Because the shortfall occurs so far in the future, immediate
changes to the program may not be warranted. Critical information about the
economy and population 38 years from now is extremely difficult to predict,
and many observers believe we should wait until we have a better understanding
of the future before making any changes to the program that might hinder future
policymakers.
Even if we were to address Social Security's projected shortfall today, however,
the problem is quite manageable, despite claims that the projected shortfall
is too big to repair or could only be fixed through massive and unpopular tax
increases. Policymakers have a wide range of measures available that can increase
revenue and reduce costs for the program without placing an excessive burden
on any one part of the population.
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Measures for Restoring Solvency |
Raising or eliminating the cap on taxable income
Currently, earnings over and above $90,000 don't get taxed for Social Security.
That upper limit increases each year depending on how much the nation's average
wages increase. While that level used to cover about 90 percent of all earnings,
faster wage growth for high earners in recent years means the limit only covers
about 85 percent of all earnings. This limit could be gradually increased to
its former level over time, meaning more revenue for the program. A more extreme
version of the previous measure, taxing 100 percent of earnings at the current
rate, would all but eliminate the program's long-term deficit.
Dedicating a revised estate tax to Social Security
The estate tax, a tax on very large inheritances, is set to be elminated by
2009 and then reinstated in 2010 unless Congress makes repeal permanent. Instead
of repealing the tax, the revenue it brings in could be used to help make up
the Social Security shortfall.
Changing the COLA
Annual Social Security benefits are now increased each year to keep pace
with inflation, a provision known as the cost-of-living-adjustment (COLA). Changes
to this measure would decrease Social Security costs by reducing the purchasing
power of benefits for retirees as they grow older. One way to implement this
measure without significantly affecting the value of benefits would be switching
to another measure (the "chained" index) for calculating inflation that many
analysts consider more accurate.
Increasing the retirement age
Social Security's normal
retirement age is set to gradually rise to 67 for retirees born in 1960
and after. However, some observers have suggested the retirement age should
be pushed back even further. They argue that this is a fair way to reduce the
program's costs, since the fact that people are living longer is partly to blame
for the projected shortfall. However, it is important to recognize that different
groups of workers would be affected in different ways by a later retirement
age. While white-collar workers may not mind delaying retirement, this may not
be an option for low-income workers in physically demanding occupations.
Any look at raising the retirement age must also consider how to ensure that
older workers have rewarding jobs available to them. Some experts argue that
the response to increasing life-expectancy is not removing retirees' option
to receive Social Security at the current age, but in creating incentives for
more retirees to delay benefits and increase their savings.
- Raising
the Retirement Age: The Wrong Direction for Social Security (Christian
Weller, EPI, 2000)
- Life at the Bottom
of the Sea (Beverly Goldberg, TCF, May 2005)
- In
Brief: Is Early Retirement Ending? (Sophie Korczyk, AARP, 2004)
- Should We Raise
Social Security's Earliest Eligibility Age? (Alicia Munnell, et al., CRR,
2004)
- Many
already lack a steady job before the Social Security retirement age (Elise
Gould, EPI, June 2005)
Diversifying the trust fund portfolio
While Social Security's trust funds are now invested exclusively in special
government bonds, the government could improve the returns on that investment
by investing part of the trust funds on the private market. Instead of subjecting
individuals to the market fluctuations and high expenses related to personal
accounts, the government would bear this risk and greatly reduce expenses by
investing the funds all at once. However, this approach has raised questions
about the political implications of large scale government investment in the
stock market.
Extending Social Security to workers who don't participate
in the program
While Social Security is nearly universal, about a quarter of the nation's state
and local government employees still do not pay into the system, a lingering
effect of the early practice of allowing states and localities to opt out of
the system. New revenues could be obtained by requiring coverage for all new
hires in these positions going forward.
These and similar measures can be easily drawn upon to restore long-term solvency
to the program, if not today, then in the future when the projected deficit
is better understood.
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Comprehensive Reform Plans |
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Social Security Plus
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Robert M. Ball,
Campaign for America's Future,
12/1/2004
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This two-part plan restores Social Security to long-term (75-year) balance and establishes a simple, low-cost way for individuals to set up personal savings accounts supplemental to Social Security.
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Link to Report (PDF)
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Additional Resources |
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